Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 12.498997 14.062744 15.830682 17.995238 20.598445 23.660236 27.582077
2025-05-18 10.318719 12.247946 14.605893 17.757289 21.950730 27.480477 35.581619
2025-05-25 9.048685 11.114621 13.771454 17.540425 22.930252 30.675377 43.313943
2025-06-01 8.195482 10.337957 13.205936 17.476167 23.964028 34.016881 52.146993
2025-06-08 7.413979 9.540854 12.476006 17.013876 24.250679 36.187569 59.677886
2025-06-15 6.905281 9.052805 12.102421 16.990312 25.165181 39.532571 70.556093
2025-06-22 6.290781 8.351871 11.336599 16.242017 24.728405 40.351525 76.564314
2025-06-29 5.747264 7.707688 10.591735 15.429592 24.036825 40.517181 81.165941
2025-07-06 5.339761 7.232649 10.061078 14.903631 23.767537 41.443898 88.042922
2025-07-13 5.451053 7.539324 10.764626 16.535861 27.784364 52.403023 128.679367
2025-07-20 5.320147 7.460586 10.840197 17.071913 29.763227 59.487798 164.041180
2025-07-27 4.991673 7.048385 10.331968 16.479733 29.287589 60.384240 177.800814
2025-08-03 4.852107 6.939105 10.340283 16.893457 31.151218 68.302280 230.837351
2025-08-10 4.616780 6.659947 10.036863 16.673819 31.562936 72.407447 272.836363
2025-08-17 4.407073 6.408914 9.761392 16.475300 31.986731 76.752566 324.492283
2025-08-24 4.236885 6.212633 9.566656 16.416435 32.742045 82.527867 399.364574
2025-08-31 4.028326 5.939827 9.214715 15.992748 32.498598 84.837106 454.922012
2025-09-07 3.891988 5.782053 9.060684 15.971142 33.307208 91.399965 573.232860
2025-09-14 3.676631 5.478112 8.618279 15.284458 32.206482 90.195959 605.318589
2025-09-21 3.467185 5.175989 8.164146 14.537713 30.844394 87.570439 615.909495
2025-09-28 3.304745 4.949103 7.839722 14.053582 30.159980 87.617144 668.519539
2025-10-05 3.397979 5.172146 8.376989 15.554234 35.500717 117.390145 1528.745495
2025-10-12 3.362463 5.164502 8.469637 16.045961 37.978334 136.219010 2712.770713